Today, the famous Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo released a report on Macbook and iPhone. The report has predicted that Apple would launch two new MacBook Pro models in 3Q21, and high-end iPhone may use a VC cooling system as early as 2022.
MacBook
Benefiting from the strong replacement demand, total MacBook shipments are expected to grow significantly by 25-30% (Year over Year) to 20 million units in 2021. It is estimated that the newly designed MacBook Pro will account for 60–70% of the total MacBook shipments in 2021.
Ming-Chi Kuo’s report also stated that Apple had not changed its MacBook Pro series design for five years. It is believed that the launch of two new design models in 3Q21 will attract customer’s attention and significantly increase the demand for replacement.
The following are the relevant predictions from the report:
- The two new models will feature approximately 14-inch and 16-inch displays, respectively.
- In terms of case design, the new model’s top cover and bottom cancel the existing curved design and use a flat right-angle design (similar to the iPhone 12).
- The MagSafe charging connector design will be restored.
- The OLED Touch Bar will be removed, and the physical function buttons will be restored.
- There would be no option for the Intel CPU in the new models.
- The new models will be equipped with more types of I/O, so most users may not need to purchase additional adapters.
The two newly designed MacBook Pro bring a new heat dissipation system design (similar to that of the 16-inch MacBook Pro) to provide better computing power.
Since the 16-inch MacBook Pro with the highest-profile cooling system will account for less than 10% of shipments in 2020, the MacBook Air, which will account for a high percentage of shipments in 2020, does not have a heat pipe.
iPhone
The latest industry survey pointed out that Apple is still actively testing the VC (Vapor Chamber) heat dissipation system for the iPhone. It is believed that at least high-end iPhone models are highly likely to adopt the VC heat dissipation solution soon.
If VC’s reliability can be improved smoothly, high-end iPhone may use the VC cool system as early as 2022.
The latest survey shows that due to the future increase in computing power and faster 5G connection speeds, high-end iPhones need to be equipped with VC heat dissipation systems to meet higher heat dissipation requirements. At present, the iPhone has not yet adopted VC. The key is that the reliability test of VC cannot meet Apple’s high requirements. However, we are looking forward to the improvement schedule of VC reliability and expect that at least high-level iPhones will be equipped with a VC heat dissipation system in the near future.
